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← 2025: A Record-Setting Year on Aconcagua
Bagging Bierstadt from the Winter Route →

The Gamble of Going Guided – Are the Odds For or Against You?

Posted on March 12, 2025December 20, 2025 by Backcountry Fever

red dice rollingI have come to believe the odds of going guided are often stacked against you — especially when it comes to matching skill and experience level among participants.  My opinion comes from three guided adventures in the past two years, finding it to be a 50/50 experience so far, based solely on luck:

  1. Pico de Orizaba and Iztaccíhuatl with Servimont — a pre-organized group from home
  2. Denali Prep with Alaska Mountaineering School— an individual signup with very little assessment
  3. Aconcagua with Inka Expeditiones — also as an individual participant, with no real screening

Not counting my experience in Mexico — since that group had registered together — I lost big in Alaska but got lucky in Argentina.  The aha moment came during those fifteen days with our guides from Inka.

Front Office = Sales

I now see that the front office of a guide company is nothing more than sales.  Their main goal is to fill spots — plain and simple.  Who fills those spots hardly matters.  There doesn’t seem to be much of a “placement” process or any real effort to match skills and experience among the adventure-seekers who ultimately end up as a team.

Based on my outcomes, I would much rather be presented with alternate dates that group together climbers of similar ability.  Otherwise, it’s just a roll of the dice, hoping for the odds to fall in your favor.

Back Office = Operations

That leaves the back office crew as operations — the guides on the mountain who now have to deliver on the expectations sold by those in their front office.  Unfortunately, these guides often have no idea who they’ll be leading until the day everyone shows up.  From that point on, they’re doing backflips all day long to make it all work for the poorly screened band of misfit mountaineers they’ve been handed.

These guides are truly remarkable individuals, with an impressive range of abilities — from hard technical expertise to the soft people skills that hold a team together in very challenging conditions.

Who Pays the Price

So then, who really pays the price for how this game gets played?  The guides do, in part, since they have to deal with whatever shortcomings are thrown their way.  But that’s the kind of job a professional guide signs up for, and they’re compensated to manage such scenarios.

However, I think the more consequential price is paid by the clients — those of us who are sold one thing and then may not end up with the experience we hoped for because underqualified participants were accepted.

As mentioned earlier, my Denali Prep experience fell far short of the expectations set by the Alaska Mountaineering School sales team, while I couldn’t have asked for a better group to climb Aconcagua with.  I think it’ll always be a gamble when you go guided as an individual.  So perhaps the best solution is to organize your own group and sign up together for the trip — just like I had for Orizaba and Izta.

← 2025: A Record-Setting Year on Aconcagua
Bagging Bierstadt from the Winter Route →

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Couldn`t have asked for a better day to climb Mount Adams. The conditions today (6/4) were absolutely perfect!

These 6 miles were waaaay different from the last six I did in LA. This 6-mile climb to the summit packed in 6,700 feet of elevation and took 6 hours 45 minutes (one-way).

#mtadams #mountadams #pnw #mountaineering #legday

43 5
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Couldn't have asked for a better day to climb Mount Adams. The conditions today (6/4) were absolutely perfect!

These 6 miles were waaaay different from the last six I did in LA. This 6-mile climb to the summit packed in 6,700 feet of elevation and took 6 hours 45 minutes (one-way).

#mtadams #mountadams #pnw #mountaineering #legday

Spent the weekend in California for a wedding and managed to squeeze in a quick hike, L.A.-style.

After reaching Mount Lee behind the Hollywood Sign, I couldn`t resist tagging two other peaks along the Aileen Getty Ridge Trail: Cahuenga Peak, the highest point in Griffith Park, and Burbank Peak, home to the famous Wisdom Tree.

The hike came in at 6 miles with just 1,000 feet of elevation gain and took only 2 hours.

#hollywoodsign #cahuengapeak #burbankpeak #aileengettyridgetrail #hikela

19 0
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Spent the weekend in California for a wedding and managed to squeeze in a quick hike, L.A.-style.

After reaching Mount Lee behind the Hollywood Sign, I couldn't resist tagging two other peaks along the Aileen Getty Ridge Trail: Cahuenga Peak, the highest point in Griffith Park, and Burbank Peak, home to the famous Wisdom Tree.

The hike came in at 6 miles with just 1,000 feet of elevation gain and took only 2 hours.

#hollywoodsign #cahuengapeak #burbankpeak #aileengettyridgetrail #hikela

Still chasing snow! Took my brother-in-law on his first-ever mountaineering experience. We went up Temple Couloir, over to Deseret Peak, and then slid down West Twin Couloir. Hard to beat spring days like this.

This was my 6th summit of Deseret Peak.

#deseretpeak #templecouloir #twincouloirs #mountaineering #chasingsnow

46 4
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Still chasing snow! Took my brother-in-law on his first-ever mountaineering experience. We went up Temple Couloir, over to Deseret Peak, and then slid down West Twin Couloir.  Hard to beat spring days like this.

This was my 6th summit of Deseret Peak.

#deseretpeak #templecouloir #twincouloirs #mountaineering #chasingsnow

One of my favorite things to do between ski season and hiking season: kicking steps up a steep slope toward some snow-capped summit!

#mountaineering #kickingsteps #steepslope #snowcapped #summitday

33 4
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One of my favorite things to do between ski season and hiking season: kicking steps up a steep slope toward some snow-capped summit!

#mountaineering #kickingsteps #steepslope #snowcapped #summitday

Another moderate day of mountaineering up the north slope of Mt. Superior, known as Cardiac Bowl. I`ve only been to this peak once before, from the typical summer trail, so it was way fun to get there from this direction.

#mountsuperior #northslope #cardiacbowl #mountaineering #wasatch11ers

32 0
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Another moderate day of mountaineering up the north slope of Mt. Superior, known as Cardiac Bowl.  I've only been to this peak once before, from the typical summer trail, so it was way fun to get there from this direction.

#mountsuperior #northslope #cardiacbowl #mountaineering #wasatch11ers

With such good coverage and a big storm rolling in, I think Alta should stay open for at least another week!

#stillskiing #springskiing #skiutah #skiing #alta

15 0
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With such good coverage and a big storm rolling in, I think Alta should stay open for at least another week! 

#stillskiing #springskiing #skiutah #skiing #alta

It`s been a minute since I`ve had anything other than ski boots or hockey skates on my feet this winter. Gotta switch gears before the mountaineering season melts away here in Utah!

#mountaineering #kesslerpeak #westridge #wasatchfront #timetoclimb

📷 @wasatchwidescreen

23 0
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It's been a minute since I've had anything other than ski boots or hockey skates on my feet this winter.  Gotta switch gears before the mountaineering season melts away here in Utah!

#mountaineering #kesslerpeak #westridge #wasatchfront #timetoclimb

📷 @wasatchwidescreen

On this day last year—February 18—my team and I reached the summit of Aconcagua, the tallest peak in Argentina and the highest mountain in the Western Hemisphere at 22,837 feet.

I’ve enjoyed looking back on that expedition by rereading my day-by-day trip report from our climb.

👉 Link in bio: an 18-part guide covering the entire climb, plus pre-trip planning tips and post-expedition things to see and do around Mendoza.

Whether this is your first high-altitude objective or you’re adding Aconcagua to your mountaineering résumé, the guide will help you see why I chose the 360° Traverse, how to plan for your expedition, and what to expect each day on the mountain.

#aconcagua #aconcagua360 #aconcaguaexpedition #highaltitudemountaineering #mountaineering

35 2
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On this day last year—February 18—my team and I reached the summit of Aconcagua, the tallest peak in Argentina and the highest mountain in the Western Hemisphere at 22,837 feet.

I’ve enjoyed looking back on that expedition by rereading my day-by-day trip report from our climb.

👉 Link in bio: an 18-part guide covering the entire climb, plus pre-trip planning tips and post-expedition things to see and do around Mendoza.

Whether this is your first high-altitude objective or you’re adding Aconcagua to your mountaineering résumé, the guide will help you see why I chose the 360° Traverse, how to plan for your expedition, and what to expect each day on the mountain.

#aconcagua #aconcagua360 #aconcaguaexpedition #highaltitudemountaineering #mountaineering

Winter is my favorite season, and cold weather camping is one of my favorite winter activities.

#coldweathercamping #wintercamping #tenting #lovewinter #lovecamping

19 0
Open post by backcountryfever with ID 18088708565160118
Winter is my favorite season, and cold weather camping is one of my favorite winter activities.

#coldweathercamping #wintercamping #tenting #lovewinter #lovecamping
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